Today : Sun, 20 Apr 14 .

S17: Modelling and simulation of dangerous phenomena, and innovative techniques for hazard evaluation, mapping, mitigation

Page: Main.S17 - Last Modified : Mon, 30 Jun 08


Giulio Iovine, Institute of research for hydro-geological defense (IRPI), CNR, Italy (contact:
Michael Sheridan, Center for Geohazards Studies, Dept. of Geology, University at Buffalo, USA
Manuel Pastor, Computational Engineering Dept., Centro de Estudios de Técnicas Aplicadas CEDEX, Spain
Hirdy Miyamoto, The University Museum, University of Tokyo, Japan


  • Dangerous natural/man-made phenomena
  • Innovative hazard/risk evaluation and mapping techniques
  • Prediction of triggering and of development of dangerous phenomena
  • New approaches of model calibration, validation, sensitivity analyses, and application
  • Comparison among different approaches of modelling and simulation for hazard mapping


Several types of dangerous phenomena (either natural or man-made) pose serious risk in many parts of the world. A fundamental task in hazard evaluation includes the prediction of the area influenced by the hazardous phenomenon, of its evolution in space and time, and the understanding of triggering mechanisms. This section mainly focuses on theoretical and numerical researches, especially those supported by computer-assisted techniques of computation. Different approaches might be taken: some mainly focus on the problem of time-sequential movements, by using either physical-based or empirical methods of analysis, others includes attempts to predict the evolution of a given natural phenomenon. Studies concerning innovative methods of modelling and simulation for hazard prevention purposes are welcome. Contributions on new techniques of simulation, case studies, and novel methods of model calibration and validation, as well as on sensitivity analyses are solicited. Comparative discussions on potential and limits of different modelling approaches are also within the scope of this session.


Monday 7
Time Title Authors Place
9:30 - 9:50 'Land subsidence induced by groundwater extraction: the case of Bologna' G. Darini, G. Modoni, M. Saroli and P. Croce A5102
9:50 - 10:10 'TO EARTHQUAKE PREPARATION MODELS, BASED ON HYDRO GEOCHEMICAL DATA' F.H. Karimov, N.Gh. Salomov, R.U. Vakhobova and G.B. Norova A5102
10:10 - 10:30 'Use of Two Nonparametric Methods (CART and MARS) to Model the Potential Distribution of Gullies in Spanish Rangelands' Á. Gómez Gutiérrez, S. Schnabel and F. J. Lavado Contador A5102
10:30 - 10:50 'On study of the geodynamic processes by geoelectrical methods' A. Kamshilin, E. Volkova , V. Leontiev, O. Kuzichkin A5102
11:20 - 11:40 'Electrochemical stripping analysis, a powerful technique for real-time controlling of environment pollution from heavy metals' G. Aragay, A. Puig-Font, S. Laschi, M. Mascini, L. Sanfilippo, A. Merkoçi A5102
11:40 - 12:00 'Mathematical modelling of aerosol transport and deposition: Analytic formulae for fast computation' R. McKibbin A5102
12:00 - 12:20 'A Mathematical Model for Numerical Simulation of Shallow Water Flow: Description and Practical Application of GUAD|2D' J. Murillo, M. Rodríguez Pallarés, A. Andrés-Urrutia, P. Brufau and P. García-Navarro A5102
12:20 - 12:40 'Effect of Mud Rheology on its Inertial Dam-Break Flow' B. Nsom, K. Bouchlaghem and N. Latrache A5102
12:40 - 13:00 'Mud-flow and lava-flow susceptibility and hazard mapping through numerical modelling, GIS techniques, historical and geoenvironmental analyses' G. Iovine A5102
15:00 - 15:20 'Early warning of fast landslides triggering based on instrumented slope data analysis' E. Damiano, R. Greco, A. Guida and L. Olivares A5102
15:20 - 15:40 'Landslide Data Analysis with Gaussian Mixture Model' V. Timonin, S.B. Bai, J. Wang, M. Kanevski and A. Pozdnoukhov A5102
15:40 - 16:00 'Modelling the Portalet landslide mobility (Formigal, Spain)' J.A.Fernández-Merodo, G.Herrera, P.Mira, J.Mulas, M.Pastor, L.Noferini, D.Mecatti and G.Luzi A5102
16:00 - 16:20 'The role played by mountain tracks on rainfall-induced shallow landslides: a case study' L. Cascini, S. Cuomo and M. Pastor A5102
16:40 - 17:00 'Additional torrent control strategies on debris flow alluvial fans with extremely high vulnerable settlements' B. Mazzorana, C. Scherer and N. Marangonia A5102
17:00 - 17:20 'Modelling of the Risks of the Sidoarjo Mud Flow, Indonesia' S. Kivva and M.Zheleznyak A5102
17:20 - 17:40 'Rheological Behaviour of Volcanic Granular Flows' K. Kelfoun A5102
17:40 - 18:00 'Geomechanical modelling of triggering mechanisms for rainfall-induced triangular shallow landslides of the flow-type' L. Cascini, S. Cuomo, M. Pastor and J.A. Fernández-Merodo A5102
Tuesday 8
9:30 - 9:50 'A Semantic WEB Services Platform to support Disaster and Emergency Management' M. Gloria, V. Lersi, G. Minei, D. Pasquariello, C. Monti and A. Saitto A5102
9:50 - 10:10 'Drought Mitigation using Operative Indicators in Complex Water Systems' G.M. Sechi and A. Sulis A5102
10:10 - 10:30 'Living With Peak Discharge Uncertainty: The Self-learning Dike' J. L. de Kok and A.Y. Hoekstra A5102
10:30 - 10:50 'An integrated multimedia model and multicriteria analysis approach to managing sewage sludge application on agricultural soils: framework and methodology' A. C. Passuello, M. Schuhmacher, V. Kumar, M. Nadal and J. L. Domingo A5102
11:20 - 11:40 'Assessment and Management of Environmental Risks Resulting from Operation of Large-scale Irrigation Delivery Systems: a Case Study in Southern Italy' D. Zaccaria and M. Scimone A5102
11:40 - 12:00 'Geo-communication for risk assessment and catastrophe prevention of flood events in the coastal areas of Chennai' S. Glaser, R. Glaser, A. Drescher, C. Pfeiffer, E. Schliermann-Kraus, M. Lechner and J. Vencatesan A5102
12:00 - 12:20 'Simulating earthquakes effects: the SHAKYGROUND simulation tool' M. Cristaldi, U. Delprato, C.Lupo and S. Gresta A5102
12:20 - 12:40 'Thunderstorm Strike Probability Nowcasting, a New Algorithm' S. Dance, B.Ebert and D.Scurrah A5102