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iEMSs 2002 sessions
(part two) |
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TECHNIQUES AND METHODOLOGIES
Structural Change, Model Evaluation (Validation),
and Environmental Foresight
Coordinated by M. Bruce Beck
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Modelling the effect of information feedback on the spread of the Ebola virus
O'Regan, B., R. Moles (p.1)
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Exergy and Information
Indices: A Comparison for Use in Structurally Dynamic Models
Fath, B.D (p.7) |
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Uncertainty
Management in Complex Models: the NUSAP method
van der Sluijs, J., J. Risbey, S. Corral Quintana, J. Ravetz
(p.13) |
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Integrating
Mechanistic Modelling and Statistical Learning Theoretic-Methods:
initial steps toward a strategy for model evaluation and structure
selection
Guergachi, A. (p.19) |
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Application
of a Checklist for Quality Assistance in Environmental Modelling
to an Energy Model
Risbey, J., J. van der Sluijs, J. Ravetz, P. Kloprogge, S. Funtowicz,
S. Corral Quintana (p.25) |
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Integrating
Stakeholder Imagination with Scientific Theory: a Case Study
of Lake Lanier, USA.
Osidele, O.O., and M.B. Beck (p.31) |
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Integrating
structural changes in future research and modelling on the Seine
River Basin
Kieken, H (p.37) |
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Methods of Uncertainty
Analysis
Coordinated by John P. Norton |
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Uncertainty
in Model Predictions: Does it Preclude Effective Decision Support
?
Reichert, P., M. Borsuk (p.43) |
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Data Assimilation
and Uncertainty Analysis of Environmental Assessment Problems
Romanowicz, R., P.C. Young (p.49) |
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Management of
Contamination Risks and Identification of Contamination Sources
Kryazhimskii, A., V. Maksimov (p.55) |
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A comparison
between the uncertainties in model parameters and in forcing
functions: an application to a 3D water quality model.
Pastres R., S. Ciavatta. (p.60) |
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LPV Approximation
of Distributed Parameter Systems in Environmental Modeling
Belforte, G., F. Dabbene, P. Gay (p.66) |
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Credal classification
for mining environmental data
Zaffalon, M. (p.72) |
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Probabilistic
Finite Automata and randomness in nature: a new approach in the
modelling and prediction of climatic parameters
L.Mora-López, R.Morales-Bueno, M.Sidrach-de-Cardona, F.Triguero
(p.78) |
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Trees, Dendrograms
and Sensitivity
Braddock, R.B. (p.84) |
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Investigating
Uncertainty and Sensitivity in Integrated, Multimedia Environmental
Models: Tools for 3MRA
Babendreier, J. E., K. J. Castleton (p.90) |
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A DSS for Water
Resources Management under Uncertainty
Pallottino, S., G.M. Sechi, P. Zuddas (p.96) |
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Bayesian Networks
Coordinated by Ari Jolma |
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Integrative
environmental prediction using Bayesian networks: A synthesis
of models describing estuarine eutrophication
Borsuk, M.E., C.A. Stow, and K.H. Reckhow (p.102) |
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A Bayesian network
for investigating the decline in fish catch in Switzerland
Borsuk, M.E., P. Burckhardt-Holm, P. Reichert (p.108) |
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An Approximation
Algorithm for the Updating of Non-Gaussian Dynamic Processes
Gargoum, A. S. (p.114) |
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Environmental
Applications of Artificial Neural Networks
Coordinated by Giorgio Guariso |
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Modelling and
Short Term Forecasting of Photochemical Pollution by Soft Computing
Techniques
Finzi, G, G. Nunnari, M-L. Volta (p.120) |
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Local Short-Term
Prediction of Wind Speed: a Neural Network Analysis
Pérez-Llera, C., M.C. Fernández-Baizán,
J.L. Feito, V.E. González del Valle (p.124) |
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A Neural Emission-Receptor
Model for Ozone Reduction Planning
Barazzetta, S., G. Corani, G. Guariso (p.130) |
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Use of Genetic
Algorithms to Select Input Variables in Artificial Neural Network
Models for the Prediction of Benthic Macroinvertebrates
d'Heygere, T., P.M.L. Goethals, N. De Pauw (p.136) |
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Optimisation
of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model design for prediction
of macroinvertebrate communities in the Zwalm river basin (Flanders,
Belgium)
Dedecker, A., P. Goethals, W. Gabriels, N. De Pauw (p.142) |
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Optimization
of a Model to Predict Salinity Intrusion in San Francisco Bay
Estuary Using a Genetic Algorithm
Rajkumar, T., D.E. Thompson (p.148) |
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Solving the
Inverse Problem in Stochastic Groundwater Modelling with Artificial
Neural Networks
Rajanayaka, C., S. Samarasinghe, D. Kulasiri (p.154) |
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Short term river
flood forecasting with neural networks
García-Bartual, R. (p.160) |
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Flood Forecasting
Using Artificial Neural Networks in Black-Box and Conceptual
Rainfall-Runoff Modelling
Toth, E., A. Brath (p.166) |
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Hydrologic Modeling
and Analysis Using a Self-Organizing Linear Output Network
Hsu, K., S. Sorooshian, H.V. Gupta, X. Gao, B. Imam (p.172) |
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An Artificial
Neural Networks Modeling Approach Applied to the Probabilistic
Management of Water Resources Systems
Ochoa-Rivera, J.C., R. García-Bartual, J.Andreu (p.178) |
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Applications of Agent-Based Simulation
in Integrated Modelling and Assessment
Coordinated by Matt Hare
Applications: modelling human agency
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How bad isn't
the agent-based model CATCHSCAPE?
Becu, N., P. Perez, O. Barreteau, A. Walker (p.184) |
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Modeling the
Effects of Greenbelts at the Urban-Rural Fringe
Brown, D.G., S.E. Page, R. Riolo, W. Rand (p.190) |
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Multi-Agent
Simulations as a tool for the assessment of urban microclimate
and its effect on pedestrian behaviour
Bruse, M. (p.196) |
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Agent-based
simulation of an environmental action campaign: Changing people's
behaviour via their inner contradictions
Mosler, H-J. (p.202) |
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Modelling contrasted
management behaviours of stakeholders facing a pine encroachment
process: an agent-based simulation approach
Etienne, M., C. Le Page (p.208) |
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An Architecture
for Modelling Individual Behaviour and Landscape Scale Outcomes
in an Intelligent Agent-Based Simulation of Environmental Management
Smith, L.J., R Itami, I.D.Bishop (p.214) |
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Applications:
modelling non-human agency |
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HOOFS - a multi-scale,
agent-based simulation framework for studying the impact of grazing
animals on the environment
Beecham, J.A., S.P. Oom, C.P.D. Birch (p.220) |
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Modeling and
Analysis of Biofilms Formation and Evolution in Wastewater Treatment
Processes using Multi-Agent Systems
Lardon, L., J-P. Steyer, N. Bernet, C. Le Page (p.226) |
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An Application
of Queuing Theory to Waterfowl Migration
Sojda, R. S., J. E. Cornely, L.H. Fredrickson (p.232) |
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Methodology |
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Agent Based
Simulation in Integrated Assessment and Resources Management
Pahl-Wostl, C. (p.239) |
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Modelling Intervention
Strategies for Cooperative Environmental Management
Doran, J. (p.245) |
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Combining object-oriented
programming and relational databases for multi-scale spatially-integrated
agent-based models
Polhill, J.G., N.M. Gotts, A.N.R. Law (p.251) |
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Applications:
stakeholder approaches |
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A step-by-step
approach to build-up land management scenarios based on multiple
viewpoints on multi-agent system simulations
Etienne, M., M. Cohen, C. Le Page (p.257) |
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Agent-based
and Integrated Assessment Modelling for Incorporating Social
Dynamics in the Management of the Meuse in the Dutch Province
of Limburg
Krywkow, J., P. Valkering, J. Rotmans, A. van der Veen (p.263) |
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M3 Project -
Actor Based Simulation in Virtual Worlds
Rosé, H., T. Asselmayer-Maluga, P. Frank, A. Hoheisel,
B. Walter (p.269) |
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The Role Playing
Games in an ABM Participatory Modeling Process: Outcomes from
Five Different Experiments Carried out in the Last Five Years
D'Aquino, P., O. Barreteau, M. Etienne, S. Boissau, S. Aubert,
F. Bousquet, C. Le Page, W. Daré (p.275) |
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FLUID DYNAMICS AND ATMOSPEHERIC SCIENCES
Environmental Fluid Dynamics
Coordinated by Yaping Shao
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INVITED PAPER:
Computational Simulation of Turbulent Flows and Pollution Dispersion
in Complex urban Canyons
Bei, N., Y. Shao (p.281) |
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High-resolution
Simulation of Flow and Dispersion of Volcanic SO2 over the Miyake
Island
Seino, N., H. Sasaki, J. Sato and M. Chiba (p.290) |
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Development
of a dynamical core for a new atmospheric meso-scale numerical
model
Sha, W. (p.296) |
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Exploration
of the Behaviour of a Stochastic Transport Model Using Computational
Experiments
Rajanayaka, C., D. Kulasiri (p.301) |
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Application
of 1D and 3D Hydrodynamic Models Coupled to an Ecological Model
to Two Water Supply Reservoirs
Romero, J.R., C. Dallimore, J. Antenucci, D.P. Hamilton, J. Imberger,
D.A. Horn, A. Deen (p.307) |
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Comparison Between
Water Quality Models for Toxics
Gualtieri, C. (p.313) |
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Mesoscale modelling
of interactions between rainfall and the land surface in West
Africa
Sogalla, M., M. Kerschgens (p.319) |
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Numerical Model
of Flow Field in Urban Canopy Layer
Huizhi, L., W. Baoming, S. Jianguo W. Xiaoyun (p.325) |
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A Climate Dynamical
Model on Oasis Development
Yuan, C., D. Zhou, J. Chao, X. Pan (p.331) |
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Modelling Climate
and Global Change
Coordinated by Robert J. Oglesby |
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Soil Moisture
and Snow Cover: Active or Passive Elements of Climate?
Oglesby, R.J., S. Marshall, C.D.J. Erickson III; F.R. Robertson,
J.O. Roads (p.337) |
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Simulations
of the 2001 Indian Summer Monsoon Onset with a General Circulation
Model
Bollasina, M., L. Bertolani, G. Tartari (p.343) |
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Relative Performance
of Empirical Predictors of Daily Precipitation
Cavazos, T., B.Hewitson (p.349) |
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Clouds form
preferentially over native vegetation
Lyons, T.J. (p.355) |
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Modelling annual
rainfall using a hidden-state Markov model
Srikanthan, R., M.A. Thyer, G. Kuczera, T. A. McMahon (p.360) |
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Potential impact
of global warming on tropical tuna habitat
Loukos, H., P. Monfray, L. Bopp (p.366) |
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Ecosystem as
a text: semantic analysis of the global vegetation pattern.
Svirezhev, Y.M. (p.372) |
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Simple Spatially
Distributed Model of the Global Carbon Cycle and its Dynamic
Properties.
Svirezhev, Y.M. (p.377) |
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Environmental
Modelling of Physical, Biophysical and Chemical Processes as
a Component of Soil-Plant-Atmosphere Interaction
Coordinated by Dragutin T. Mihailovic |
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Invited paper:
Environmental Modelling of Physical, Biophysical and Chemical
Processes In The Atmosphere Plant-Soil Interaction: How Nonlinearity
affects the Solution
Mihailovic, D.T. (p.383) |
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An approach
for the aggregation of albedo in calculating the radiative fluxes
over heterogeneous surfaces in atmospheric models
Kapor, D., D. T. Mihailovic, T. Tosic, S.T. Rao, C. Hogrefe (p.389) |
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Sensitivity
of different evapotranspiration calculation methods in different
crop-weather models.
Eitzinger, J., D. Marinkovic, J. Hösch (p.395) |
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The assessment
of the influence of the surface fluxes on the extended weather
prediction
Djurdjevic, V., B. Rajkovic (p.401) |
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Framework of
regional impacts assessment model and its application on arid/semi-arid
region
Li, Y. and J. Ji (p.407) |
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Adjustment to
the single point forcing on the Z grid: Linear Theory
Djurdjevic, V., B. Rajkovic, M. Gavrilov (p.413) |
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Weathering In
Terrestrial Ecosystems: Carbon Sink.
Egorov, P. and Y.M. Svirezhev (p.418) |
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Population dynamics
and treatment strategies of Phytophthora infestans (late blight)
in the Mid-Hills of Nepal
Apel, H., M.S. Paudyal, O. Richter (p.424) |
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Environmental
Risk Assessment of pesticide use based on the modelling of the
environmental fate of pesticides in soil
Apel, H., Richter, O. (p.430) |
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New approach
in parameterisation of momentum transport inside and above forest
canopy under neutral conditions
Lalic, B., D.T. Mihailovic (p.436) |
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The Particle
Deposition Flux Monitoring and Analysis Approach of the SUPREME
Project
Clai G., F. Monforti F., C.Catelli, G.Zanini, R. Bellasio, R.
Bianconi, M.Bazzoli, A. Manganelli, J. Jacucci (p.442) |
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Land air surface
scheme (LAPS) for use in urban modells
Lazic, J., D.T. Mihailovic, B. Lalic, I. Arsenic, C. Hogrefe
(p.448) |
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SOCIO ECONOMIC AND ENVIRONMENTAL SYSTEMS
Socio-Economic and Environmental Modelling
Coordinated by Michael McAleer
Emissions trading and energy
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Emission Trading
Experiments: Investment Uncertainty and Liability.
Kusakawa, T., Saijo, T. (p.454) |
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Estimating Tradeable
Certificates Created by Small-Scale Renewable Energy Systems
Pryor, T., C. Watkins and H. Lang (p.460) |
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The costs and
benefits of pre-action before Kyoto compliance
Pan, H., D.Van Regemorter (p.466) |
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Price Asymmetries
in International Gasoline Markets
Galeotti, M., A. Lanza, M. Manera (p.472) |
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The Economy,
environment and sustainability |
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The Impact of
Mature Trees on House Values and on Residential Location Choices
in Quebec City
Thériault, M., Y. Kestens, F. Des Rosiers (p.478) |
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The Economic
Consequences of Voluntary Environmental Information Disclosure
Gozali, N.O., J.C.Y How, P.Verhoeven (p.484) |
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Use of Wetlands
for Sustainable Tourism Management
Lim, C., M. McAleer (p.490) |
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The Socioeconomic
Importance of Eco-Resort Management Practices
Lim, C. (p.496) |
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Application
of spatio-temporal environmental modelling and multi-criteria
analysis to optimize the planning of socio-economic infrastructure
Pfeffer, K., D. Karssenberg, T.W.J. van Asch, P.A. Burrough (p.502) |
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A Microsimulation
Model for Assessing Urine Flows in Urban Wastewater Management
Peters, I., K-H. Brassel, C. Spoerri (p.508) |
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Evaluating Agricultural
Systems for Environmental Sustainability Using an Impact Matrix
Approach
Ascough II, J.C., D.L. Hoag, A. Engler-Palma (p.514) |
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Markets,
risks and intellectual property |
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Sectoral Productivity
Growth in China
Hu, B. M. McAleer (p.520) |
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STAR-GARCH Models
of Ecological Patents in the USA
Chan, F., D. Marinova, M. McAleer (p.526) |
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Snapshot Images
of Country Risk Ratings: An International Comparison
Hoti, S. (p.532) |
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Modelling the
Asymmetric Volatility of Electronics Patents in the USA
Chan, F., D. Marinova, M. McAleer (p.538) |
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Trends and Volatilities
in International Capital Flows for Developing Countries
Hoti, S. (p.544) |
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Modelling Time-Varying
Volatility in Non-Ferrous Metals Markets
Watkins, C. and M. McAleer (p.550) |
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Systematic Risks,
Speculators and the Forward Rate Puzzle
Radalj, K. (p.556) |
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Risk Premiums
and the Forward Rate Anomaly: A Survey
Radalj, K. (p.562) |
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Is East Asia
An Optimum Currency Area?
Zhang, Z., S. Kiyotaka, M. McAleer (p.568) |
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Nano-technology
Patenting in the USA
Marinova, D., M. McAleer (p.574) |
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Economic
and Econometric Methods |
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Deciding break
interval in the discontinuous trend unit root test
Morimune, K., M. Nakagawa (p.580) |
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Dynamic Systems
Analysis and Environmental Problems
Fukiharu, T. (p.586) |
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Using the Durbin-Watson
Ratio to Detect a Spurious Regressions: Can We Make a Rule of
Thumb?
Fukushige, M. and H.Wago (p.592) |
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Nonparametric
Test for Translog Specification of Production Function in Japanese
Manufacturing Industry
Konishi, Y., Y. Nishiyama (p.597) |
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An empirical
evaluation of STAR-GARCH models in the presence of aberrant observations
Chan, F., M. McAleer (p.603) |
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POSTER SESSION |
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On a GIS Based
Hydrological Model for Flow and Contamination Transport in Lake
Kinneret Watershed Ostfeld, A., A. Pries (p.609) |
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Contribute of
GIS technique in the evaluation of anthropic impact change in
a sub-alpine shallow lake Tartari,G., D. Copetti, G. Barbiero,
S. Tatti, R. Pagnotta (p.610) |
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Model Coupling
and Integration via XML in the M3 Simulation
Hoheisel, A. (p.611) |
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Modelling of
POP Environmental Persistence and Long Range Transport By QSAR
And Chemometric Approaches
Gramatica,P., E. Papa, S. Pozzi (p.617) |
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Integrated Simulation
of Urban Drainage System and Receiving Water Body during Rainfall
Events for both Quantity and Quality aspects
Maglionico, M. (p.618) |